Detroit Pistons 2021 NBA Draft Review: Our Cade Fire!
After decades of draft lottery misfortune, the Detroit Pistons finally had their moment in the spotlight as owners of the first overall pick in the 2021 NBA Draft. Troy Weaver could have gotten cute and flipped the pick for extra draft capital since he had a seemingly endless supply of suitors willing to deal for the right to select at the top of a top-heavy draft. Smokescreens were set and lies were told in an effort to conjure up the perfect asset package that was too good to pass up. At the end of the day, the Pistons stood pat and filled their biggest remaining need: a player with superstar potential.
Enter Cade Cunningham, the new face of Detroit sports.
I laid out my thoughts on Cade in my post-lottery breakdown pretty extensively. Despite what the rumor mill was churning out Cunningham’s selection was the most likely course of events because, a) never believe what you hear/read during lying season, and b) Cade to Detroit always made the most sense given the current state of their franchise. Even though I fully subscribe to Ted Dibiase’s theory that “everybody’s got a price” and I love a good value chase. I didn’t come across a credible draft board or scouting guide that didn’t have Cade Cunningham as the No. 1 player in this class. A few talking heads here and there tried to get hot-takey, but they wouldn’t have the sack to select anyone not named Cade Cunningham if they were in the GM seat. Draft Cade –> Win Draft is the quick and easy breakdown.
But draft reviews are probably my favorite piece of content to crank out, so let’s do this breakdown proper. Besides, there’s been no shortage of Cade propaganda in the past couple of weeks that I’ve found interesting.
Round 1 (1) – Cade Cunningham – 6’8″ Wing/Lead Ballhandler – Oklahoma State
The kid who checks all the boxes is now being given the keys to his own NBA franchise. He looks the part, talks the part, and has all the tools to play the part. The word prototype is thrown around a lot. With Cade Cunningham, it appears justified.
Here is just a sampling of thoughts on Cade, courtesy of ESPN NBA Draft Analyst Mike Schmitz:
- “future star and one of the young faces of the NBA for years to come”
- “in winning time when it matters most, he’s calm, cool and collected”
- “an All-Star in his first two or three years in the NBA and a longtime All-NBA type of player”
Cunningham has one of the highest floors of any prospect in recent history, giving him very low bust potential. This will help me sleep at night. Which is good because I have a lot of nightmares. You know, Detroit sports fan and all. While some may question the ceiling given some of his perceived warts, such as low assist numbers for a lead ballhandler and bloated turnover totals, these “weaknesses” can easily be explained away by the lonely island on which he found himself during his freshman year at Oklahoma State.
Those who scouted his game at prep powerhouse Montverde Academy saw an intelligent and fundamentally sound leader that quarterbacked what Sam Vecenie of The Athletic called “arguably the best high school team of the last decade”. You’ll find the term “elite distributor” in that very same scouting report, which doesn’t sound like a guy that should have only averaged 3.5 assists at the collegiate level. Schmitz would also like a word in the discussions about Cade’s meager assist totals…
“What gives Cunningham his Doncic-like upside is the promise he shows as a facilitator, which is largely a product of his vision, length and ambidexterity.“
Don’t shoot the messenger.
Maybe it’s the hard seltzer talking, but forgive me for brushing under the rug Cade’s less-than-stellar AST/TO ratio over the course of one pandemic season with a new team. What’s more impressive is that Cunningham dragged preseason unranked Oklahoma St. to its first NCAA Tournament since 2017 and highest seeding (4) since 2005. It may be a bit of an exercise in transitive property, but Cunningham’s work at Montverde showed he can be the star of an elite squad. I think he can do the same in the NBA, and Detroit will give him the opportunity to prove it whenever the Pistons’ “restoring” phase is complete.
Others who are doubting his star potential at the next level are using his merely “good” athleticism as the reason why Cade’s name doesn’t belong alongside Zion Williamson and Anthony Davis as the best NBA prospects of the last decade. Hey, they can’t all be genetic freaks. And besides, is being the third-best pro prospect in the past 10 years (another claim from the Schmitz piece above) really a knock?
In an effort to quell those “not a great athlete” concerns, The Ringer’s Danny Chau did a deep dive on Cade’s basketball IQ, arguing that Cunningham simply processes the game at a higher and faster level than his peers. As the game evolves and the pace of play quickens seemingly year-over-year, situational processing becomes that much more important to maximize each possession. Chau sees Cade’s “feel” for the game (pattern recognition, visual processing/spatial recognition, and processing speed) as being the bridge he uses to close the athleticism gap (and throws in some more Doncic comps to boot).
What does “feel” look like, exactly?
The Detroit Pistons restoration process was fuel-injected as a result of landing Cade Cunningham. Troy Weaver had done an excellent job of infusing this franchise with interesting young talent with limited resources in a short amount of time. Landing a star was always going to be the tricky part without a fat wallet and/or a sexy market as the bait to lure them in. But that all changed with a little help from the lottery gods. I take back all the bad things I said about the LGs. I love them. Now and forever.
Round 2 (37) – ………………………..???
Hell’d it go? That 37th pick was just here a second ago. Consolidating their surplus of second-round picks (No. 37, 42, and 52) and jumping up into the late-first round felt like a perfectly reasonable plan to me. Instead, the Pistons flipped pick No. 37 AND two more years of Mason Plumlee to Charlotte for…wait for it…pick No. 57.
Did I miss something or did Plumlee not prove to be worthy of the 3yr $25 million deal he signed last offseason, a deal I didn’t even like at the time? Now Weaver is paying Charlotte a draft tax to take him off the books?
The reason Weaver needed the Plumlee cash was that he had his sights set on Kelly Olynyk, who he signed to a 3yr $37 million deal in the opening hour of free agency. I like Kelly Olynyk, and I don’t even think Weaver necessarily overpaid here. The number seems to match his value pretty well. And Olynyk probably does fit better alongside Cade as a floor-spacing center offensively versus the more traditional, but plenty skilled, Plumlee. I just don’t understand the sense of urgency Weaver displayed with this move.
While Detroit should make a sizable leap in the win column, next season is still a developmental year for the young core, and Plumlee was brought in for that exact purpose last offseason: to help keep the ship afloat while the kids learn to play together. Extracting maximum value from all your resources should always be a priority, and Weaver somehow turned the Plumlee contract into a negative asset after a career year. Also not great, Bob.
If given the option between Olynyk and pick 57 or Plumlee, pick 37, and an extra $4 million in cap space (per year), give me option B, and it’s not even particularly close.
A big part of that hinges on who was still on the board at No. 37. And there were some dudes. Round 1 quality hoopers. Let’s meet the fellas.
Jared Butler – 6’3″ Guard – Baylor
Ended up going No. 40 to Utah. An NCAA champion and top-25 guy on most boards, including No. 17 in Vecenie’s draft guide. One of the best shooters in the class, which proved to be a high priority for Weaver given how things shook out. Legit 3&D prospect. You can’t surround your stars with enough of those guys.
Ayo Dosunmu – 6’5″ Guard – Illinois
He’s staying home after being selected by Chicago at No. 38. The 23rd overall player on Vecenie’s board and 30th overall in The Athletic’s Consensus Big Board aggregate ranking. High character guy that will have value in the locker room even if he flames out on the court. The Pistons could have had a nice little collection of All-Big-Ten-ers after the way the rest of their draft went down. We’ll get to that in a bit.
Sharife Cooper – 6’0″ Guard – Auburn
Went No. 48 to ATL. The draft’s biggest faller? Ranked 17th overall by ESPN’s Jonathan Givony and 21st overall on the consensus board. An elite ballhandler by trade. As Dwane Casey has told us many times, you can never have too many of those. Could have been a spark plug off bench/2nd unit leader.
JT Thor – 6’10” Forward – Auburn
If Thor attended the draft he would have had to awkwardly put on a Pistons hat, because Detroit selected him for Charlotte with their traded 37th selection. Ranked 30th by Givony, 33rd on the consensus board. Went a little guard-heavy on the shoulda-coulda-wouldas, so here is a bouncy big with a 7’3″ wingspan that would have made Weaver feel something wiggling in his trousers.
Dog ear the Plumlee trade to free up cap space for Olynyk as a candidate for the worst move of the Weaver era so far. Thankfully, there aren’t many candidates. Time for Olynyk to put on that clinic and prove me wrong.
Round 2 (42) – Isaiah Livers – 6’7″ Wing – Michigan
My man! I don’t need to dive deep into the scouting reports on this one, because I’ve seen nearly every second of Livers’ four years of NCAA play at The University of Michigan, which spanned 119 games, nearly 3000 minutes, and a whole lotta winning.
Take a trip down memory lane for some Livers thoughts from 2020, courtesy of yours truly. I’d say my analysis aged quite well when compared to the current draft analysis by luminaries in the industry. Why pay them when you can get it for free right here, eh?
Michigan basketball is my baby. My long johns in the neverending winter that is Detroit sports. I’m not going to throw shade at this pick, even if there were higher ranked players still lingering on the board at No. 42 (including Cooper: see above). However, this does qualify as a slight reach, especially since the Pistons had another selection coming just 10 picks later. For the record, the guys who wear suits to break this stuff down had Livers ranked mostly in the 50s, with Givony’s 49 being the highest among my preferred draft gurus.
But I feel that if draft analysts were putting together Detroit-specific big boards, Livers would be ranked significantly higher than he appears nationally. His strengths fill needs for Detroit while his weaknesses are not things he will be tasked with doing if he plays alongside Cunningham.
Shooting is his NBA-ready skill, on the back of his career .412 3PT% at Michigan. Take away his freshman campaign and this number climbs to .421. Yes, please. Vecenie points out how Livers is an elite catch-and-shoot guy but not as strong off the bounce. No biggie. Cunningham and Killian Hayes will be handling the playmaking duties for the foreseeable future. Just get open and wait for the kickout, where Livers is “lethal” with “quick and simple mechanics”.
As Jon Hamilton of The Warm Take (great guy) has written Livers has flirted with the elusive 50/40/90 shooting slash line at various points in his amateur career (are we still calling college basketball players amateurs?) but never quite landing there at seasons end. With less of the offensive load on his shoulders at the NBA level, a slight uptick in efficiency could get him there.
High-level shooters from range are always useful, but ones that play defense and know what to do without the ball contribute to winning basketball, which is what Livers has done for the past four years. You’d think a guy that tested the draft waters after his junior season before ultimately deciding to come back to school would have a sense of urgency to raise his draft stock and play a more selfish style of basketball. But Livers actually shot the ball less while raising his REB, AST, and STL numbers from the previous year, proving just how well he fits within a team concept.
This wasn’t an “upside” pick for Detroit. They got plenty of that in the first round. Livers is a role player with very specific strengths, and that’s ok. His experience and floor-spacing ability sound like a perfect complement to Cade.
Oh yeah…GO BLUE!
Round 2 (52) – Luka Garza – 6’11” Center – Iowa
The Hock approves of the Hawk(eye).
Reigning national player of the year. Top center in college basketball the past two years. Can sleepwalk his way to 20/10 on a nightly basis. A 44%(!) 3PT shooter that tips the scales at 265lbs. How does that guy fall out of the top-50?
Exhibit A: “I’m not sure I could do much more than (a two-way deal) given how poor the defense is right now” – Vecenie
Exhibit B: “It’s clear the game has moved away from big men in this mold over the past few years” – Givony
Exhibit C: “Matador on defense…He’ll be exposed defensively against teams that run a heavy dose of pick-and-rolls, which is most teams” – Kevin O’ Connor (The Ringer)
I typically like taking a shot on guys that dominate in college but don’t look the part of a star at the next level. Chip-on-the-shoulder stuff. Garza’s resume can put to shame other bigs that were taken 30+ picks earlier. Think Kai Jones at No. 19, who wasn’t even the best big man on his own team last season, let alone the country. Unfortunately, Garza’s defensive struggles are not due to a lack of effort or polish. His character and motor each garner rave reviews. He simply doesn’t have the physical makeup to play against more athletic competition.
He was so much better than his peers offensively that it outweighed his defensive limitations in college. KenPom reminds us that Iowa had the No. 3 offense in the country last season. Defensively? Iowa’s ranking drops to 75th. You’ll find a similar profile for all four of Garza’s Iowa squads dating back to 2017-18. No matter how badly he wants to improve, you can’t will yourself into speed, mobility, and twitch as a fully-formed 22-year-old. Average can get you by. You can even carve out a lane as a below-average defender if you bring enough to the table offensively. But below-average seems quite the climb from where Garza currently stands.
Maybe, maaaaaaaaybe Garza can find a role as an end-of-bench weapon that can come in and give you instant offense against specific opponents. But I can definitely see Garza contributing to G League titles for years to come. And I don’t mean that as a slight. I want to check out some Cruise games. The Sekou and Garza show sounds like appointment television (is the G League televised?)!
Round 2 (57) – Balsa Koprivica – 7’1″ Center – Florida State
Troy Weaver’s famous “eye for talent” may turn infamous after this selection, because no one else saw this kid getting his name called in the draft.
There was no consensus ranking for Balsa Koprivica because no one knew who the hell he was. Sam Vecenie’s draft guide went 100 players deep. Balsa didn’t make the cut. However, Vecenie’s colleague at The Athletic John Hollinger (who admittedly doesn’t make my big board of NBA analysts) had a hot take on Balsa, calling him “probably the worst college player drafted in the last decade”. Ouch. Hope Hollinger is wrong. It wouldn’t be the first time.
It was rumored by the local beaters that the Pistons would stash a player in Europe to incubate and see if they hatch into an extraordinary and majestic phoenix down the road, and Balsa appears to be that guy (in theory). The odds are low, but at least he showed growth in his sophomore year at Florida State.
If Balsa were a salsa, he’d be Kroger brand mild.
There were only three more picks in the draft remaining after the Balsa selection at 57. Being overly critical of picks this late is likely a waste of character count. But I think we have time for one more game of “Who was still on the board?”…
Jericho Sims – 6’10” Center – Texas
Went one pick later to the Knicks. Sims was mostly a 50-ish guy. Still, 50s looks a lot better than N/A. But Vecenie has a feeling about Sims and slotted him all the way up at No. 46. He was the above-mentioned big man from Texas that was better than top-20 teammate Kai Jones. The polar opposite of Luka Garza, Sims has a dunk-or-nothin’ offensive game but is a tenacious and versatile defender. I saw his name come across my Twitter feed as a best-case-scenario draft haul leading into the festivities, and after reading more about him I can see why.
However, I shall not question the eye for talent. It is all-knowing and has seen many things.
Final draft grade: C(ade Cunningham is a member of the Detroit Pistons)
I can sit here and pick nits all day, and I certainly don’t think Troy Weaver has done his finest work in the past week. But this draft was 90% about landing Cade Cunningham and the looming return to relevancy of a storied franchise that has laid dormant far longer than its fans have deserved.
First came the Bad Boys era. Then the Goin’ to Work era. Is the Motor Cade era on deck?
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